Elisabeth Gilmore

Associate Senior Researcher

Elisabeth Gilmore
Additional position(s):
Associate Professor, Carleton University

Email: ElisabethGilmore@cunet.carleton.ca
Website: carleton.ca
Elisabeth Gilmore is an External Associate at PRIO.

Research Interests

Elisabeth Gilmore is an Associate Professor in the Environmental Science and Policy program in the Department of International Development, Community and Environment at Clark University, USA. Her research focuses on three related streams: 

  1. quantifying and forecasting the economic and societal impacts of climate change, specifically the potential for civil conflict and social unrest; 
  2. evaluating the economic and security implications of novel low carbon energy technologies such as small modular reactors (SMR); and 
  3. integrating scenarios and modeling tools, specifically integrated assessment models, for decision-making and regulatory analysis. 

She also holds an affiliation with PRIO and contributes to PRIO's portfolio of research on climate change and security.

Background

Education:

PhD in Engineering and Public Policy/Chemical Engineering (dual degree), Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA (2009)

MASc in Chemical and Environmental Engineering, University of Toronto, Canada (2002)

BASc in Chemical and Engineering Engineering, University of Toronto, Canada (2000)

Work Experience:

2016 - present: Associate Professor, Department of International Development, Community and Environment, Clark University, MA.

2011 - 2016: Assistant Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, MD

2010 - 2011: AAAS Science and Technology Policy Fellow, Climate Science and Impacts Branch, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC

2009 - 2010: Postdoctoral Research Fellow, Climate Decision Making Center, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA

Languages spoken:

English, French, Spanish (beginner)



Recent Publications

Petrova, Kristina; Gudlaug Olafsdottir; Håvard Hegre & Elisabeth Gilmore (2023) The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb163.
Buhaug, Halvard; Elisabeth Gilmore; Tor A. Benjaminsen & Cullen Hendrix (2023) Climate-driven risks to peace over the 21st century, Climate Risk Management 39(100471).

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Petrova, Kristina; Gudlaug Olafsdottir; Håvard Hegre & Elisabeth Gilmore (2023) The ‘conflict trap’ reduces economic growth in the shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acb163.
Buhaug, Halvard; Elisabeth Gilmore; Tor A. Benjaminsen & Cullen Hendrix (2023) Climate-driven risks to peace over the 21st century, Climate Risk Management 39(100471).
Gilmore, Elisabeth & Halvard Buhaug (2021) Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict: Outlining a research agenda, WIREs Climate Change. DOI: 10.1002/wcc.722.
Gilmore, Elisabeth; Lauren Herzer Risi; Elizabeth Tennant & Halvard Buhaug (2018) Bridging Research and Policy on Climate Change and Conflict, Current Climate Change Report 4(4): 313–319.
Hegre, Håvard; Halvard Buhaug; Katherine V. Calvin; Jonas Nordkvelle; Stephanie T. Waldhoff & Elisabeth Gilmore (2016) Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways, Environmental Research Letters 11(5): 054002.
Lujala, Päivi; Nils Petter Gleditsch; & Elisabeth Gilmore (2005) A Diamond Curse? Civil War and a Lootable Resource, Journal of Conflict Resolution 49(4): 538–562.
Gilmore, Elisabeth; Nils Petter Gleditsch; Jan Ketil Rød & Päivi Lujala (2005) Conflict Diamonds: A New Dataset, Conflict Management and Peace Science 22(3): 257–292.

Conference Paper

Lujala, Päivi; Nils Petter Gleditsch & Elisabeth Gilmore (2003) A Diamond Curse? Civil War and a Lootable Resource, presented at Workshop on Natural Resources and War, Montreal, 14 September.
Gilmore, Elisabeth & Päivi Lujala (2003) The Development of Natural Resource Database, presented at the 2003 European Consortium for Political Research (ECPR) Joint Session of Workshops, Edinburgh, 28 March–2 April.

Report - Other

Gilmore, Elisabeth; Halvard Buhaug; & Håvard Hegre (2016) Maintaining Security: What Can Be Done to Prevent the Pressures of Climate Change Leading to Conflict?, Climate 2020. Rising to the Challenge. London: United Nations Association - UK.

Blog Posts

Bias in Economic Models Ignores the Impact of War in Poor Nations

Posted by Håvard Hegre, Kristina Petrova, Gudlaug Olafsdottir & Elilsabeth A. Gilmore on Friday, 3 February 2023

New research shows that existing economic forecasting models vastly underestimate the impact of conflict on marginalized countries. National income for war-torn nations like Afghanistan, Niger and Yemen could be up to 50 to 70 per cent lower than existing estimates by the end of the century. When considering what our ... Read more »