Marianne Dahl

Senior Researcher

Marianne Dahl
Additional position(s):
Deputy Editor for Journal of Peace Research

Email: mdahl@prio.org
Mobile phone: +47 98 82 28 86
Twitter: @mmariannedahl

Background

​​​​​​My major research interests includes: Non-Violence, Civil War Theory, Post-Conflict Stability, Political Economy and Statistical Modeling.

My PhD project; 'Desisting from Violence: The selection of Non-Violent vs. Violent Strategies', is on the strategic choices made by opposition groups, and what causes a non-violent, violent or mixed strategy.

Working Experience

2017 - : Senior Researcher

2017 - : Deputy Editor, Journal of Peace Research

Languages spoken

Norwegian, English and Spanish

Education

2017: PhD at the Faculty of Social and Educational Sciences - NTNU

2007-2009: M. Phil, Political Science, University of Oslo

2006-2007: Courses in Sociology and Political Science,

                  University of California, Berkeley

2003-2006: BA, Comparative Politics, University of Bergen

Events

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Recent Publications

Bakke, Kristin M. & Marianne Dahl (2023) Putins krig i Ukraina har forsterket vanlige folks vestlige orientering, Aftenposten, 12 January.
Dahl, Marianne & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2023) Clouds with silver linings: how mobilization shapes the impact of coups on democratization, European Journal of International Relations. DOI: 10.1177/13540661221143213.
Dahl, Marianne; Hanne Fjelde; Ida Rudolfsen & Sirianne Dahlum (2022) Sivilsamfunnet jobber i motbakke for å forsvare demokratiet, Morgenbladet, 17 November.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Dahl, Marianne & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2023) Clouds with silver linings: how mobilization shapes the impact of coups on democratization, European Journal of International Relations. DOI: 10.1177/13540661221143213.
Dahl, Marianne; Scott Gates; Belen Gonzalez & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2021) Accounting for numbers: Group characteristics and the choice of violent and nonviolent tactics, The Economics of Peace and Security Journal 16(1): 5–25.
Cunningham, Kathleen Gallagher; Marianne Dahl & Anne Frugé (2020) Introducing the Strategies of Resistance Data Project, Journal of Peace Research 57(3): 482–491.
Cunningham, Kathleen Gallagher; Marianne Dahl & Anne Frugé (2017) Strategies of Resistance: Diversification and Diffusion, American Journal of Political Science. DOI: 10.1111/ajps.12304.
Dahl, Marianne & Bjørn Høyland (2012) Peace on Quicksand? Challenging the Conventional Wisdom About Economic Growth and Post-Conflict Risks, Journal of Peace Research 49(3): 423–429.

PhD Thesis

Dahl, Marianne (2017) Pockets of Opportunity: State Dissident Interactions and Regime Change. PhD thesis, Faculty of Social and Educational Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), Trondheim.

Book Chapter

Gates, Scott; Kaushik Roy; Marianne Dahl & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2015) Continuity and Change in Asymmetric Warfare in Afghanistan: From the Mughals to the Americans, in Gates, Scott; & Kaushik Roy, eds, War and State-Building in Afghanistan: Historical and Modern Perspectives. London: Bloomsbury (21–42).

Popular Article

Bakke, Kristin M. & Marianne Dahl (2023) Putins krig i Ukraina har forsterket vanlige folks vestlige orientering, Aftenposten, 12 January.
Dahl, Marianne; Hanne Fjelde; Ida Rudolfsen & Sirianne Dahlum (2022) Sivilsamfunnet jobber i motbakke for å forsvare demokratiet, Morgenbladet, 17 November.
Dahl, Marianne (2022) Noen regimer faller nærmest over natten. Det kan også skje med Putin, Aftenposten, 15 September.
Butcher, Charles & Marianne Dahl (2022) Krigen i Ukraina handler om demokrati, Aftenposten, 22 March.
Rød, Espen Geelmuyden; Marianne Dahl; Haakon Gjerløw & Hanne Fjelde (2022) Et folkelig opprør kan bli Putins skjebne, NRK Ytring, 16 March.
Dahl, Marianne; Tora Sagård; Haakon Gjerløw & Bintu Zahara Sakor (2019) Twitterrevolusjonens vekst og fall [The Rise and Fall of the Twitter Revolution], Aftenposten, 8 December.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Michael Weintraub & Abbey Steele (2019) Colombia’s historic peace agreement with the FARC is fraying. We talked to 1,700 Colombians to understand why, Washington Post, 7 August.

Conference Paper

Bakke, Kristin M.; Marianne Dahl & Kit Rickard (2022) Women, Protests, and Defection, presented at Jan Tinbergen European Peace Science Conference, London, 21 June 2022.
Dahlum, Sirianne; Marianne Dahl; Hanne Fjelde & Ida Rudolfsen (2022) The Dark Side of Mobilisation: Global Evidence on Authoritarian Protests, presented at European Political Science Association, Prague, 24 June 2022.
Dahl, Marianne; Mauricio Rivera & Scott Gates (2022) Unpacking Disloyalty: Dissent Strategies and Subversive Actions Among Security Forces, presented at Securing the victory workshop, Oslo, 6 December 2022.
Dahl, Marianne; Mauricio Rivera & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2021) Defection during dissent and regime transitions, presented at Securing the Victory Workshop, Oslo, 7 December 2021.
Dahl, Marianne & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch (2019) Not a one way street: Coups d'état, civil society mobilization and democratization, presented at State-Citizen Interactions during and after Violence, University College London, 29th – 30th of May.
Strand, Håvard; Håvard Hegre; Scott Gates & Marianne Dahl (2012) Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, 1816-2008, presented at 3rd International Conference on Democracy as Idea and Practice, Oslo, 12–13 January 2012.

PRIO Policy Brief

Klugman, Jeni; Siri Aas Rustad; Kaja Borchgrevink; Solomon Negash & Marianne Dahl (2022) Women, Peace and Security Index 2021/22, GPS Policy Brief, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Gates, Scott; Marianne Dahl & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2016) Standing Idly by during the Revolution, PRIO Policy Brief, 15. Oslo: PRIO.
Dahl, Marianne (2016) Military Defection, PRIO Policy Brief, 18. Oslo: PRIO.
Cunningham, Kathleen Gallagher; Marianne Dahl & Anne Frugé (2016) Diversification and Diffusion, PRIO Policy Brief, 20. Oslo: PRIO.
Dahl, Marianne; Scott Gates; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand (2014) Ukraine and the Role of the Security Forces in Popular Uprisings, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Klugman, Jeni; Marianne Dahl & Ingrid Vik Bakken (2018) The Women, Peace, and Security Index: A Global Index of Women’s Wellbeing, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Percepciones y vivencias en relación con el Acuerdo de Paz en Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Perceptions of and Experience with the Peace Process in Colombia, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2018) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Mesetas [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Mesetas], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Actitudes hacia la implementación del Acuerdo de Paz en Tumaco [Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin; Marianne Dahl; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Michael Weintraub (2017) Attitudes Towards the Implementation of the Colombian Peace Agreement in Tumaco, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

Report - Other

Klugman, Jeni; Amie Gaye; Marianne Dahl; Kelly Dale; & Elena Ortiz (2019) Women, Peace, and Security Index 2019/20: Tracking Sustainable Peace through Inclusion, Justice, and Security for WomenWashington, DC: GIWPS and PRIO.
Klugman, Jeni; Amie Gaye; Patty Chang; Arjun Krishnan; Marianne Dahl; & Roudabeh Kishi (2017) Women, Peace, and Security Index 2017/18: Tracking Sustainable Peace through Inclusion, Justice, and Security for WomenWashington, DC: GIWPS and PRIO.

Report - External Series

Strand, Håvard; Håvard Hegre; Scott Gates; & Marianne Dahl (2012) Why Waves? Global Patterns of Democratization, Working paper. .
Strand, Håvard; & Marianne Dahl (2011) Defining Conflict-Affected Countries, Background Paper prepared for the Education for All Global Monitoring Report 2011. Paris: UNESCO.

Blog Posts

Civil Society Faces an Uphill Struggle to Defend Democracy

Posted by Marianne Dahl, Sirianne Dahlum, Hanne Fjelde & Ida Rudolfsen on Thursday, 8 December 2022

The Norwegian Nobel Committee awarded this year’s Nobel Peace Prize jointly to Belarusian human rights advocate Ales Bialiatski, the Ukrainian human rights organization Center for Civil Liberties, and the Russian human rights organization Memorial for their promotion of “the right to criticize power and protect the fundamental rights of citizens.” This year’s prize constitutes ... Read more »

2021 – A Bad Year for World Peace

Posted by Håvard Strand, Ida Rudolfsen, Marianne Dahl & Gudrun Østby on Thursday, 18 August 2022

After a declining trend since 2014 for the number of people killed in armed conflict, approximately 84,000 people died last year. Since 2014, we have seen a global declining trend for the number of people killed in armed conflict, but in 2021 this trend experienced a sharp reversal. New figures ... Read more »

A Popular Uprising Can Oust Putin

Posted by Espen Geelmuyden Rød, Marianne Dahl, Haakon Gjerløw & Hanne Fjelde on Monday, 4 April 2022

Putin’s place at the long table in the Kremlin is more insecure than ever, and even though he will cling to power, it is not inevitable that he will succeed. Fears that the so-called colour revolutions will spread to Russia have dogged Putin’s time in power. Colour revolutions in two ... Read more »

Women’s Well-Being and the US Election

Posted by Marianne Dahl & Sunniva Unn Hustad on Monday, 2 November 2020

The PRIO – GWPS Women Peace and Security Index is now available as a US edition, with scores for each of the 50 individual states and the District of Colombia.[1] With the US election today, highlighting ongoing struggles and gender-related conflicts, we ask; what does gender have to do with ... Read more »

Oppression and Regime Survival: Will Trump’s reactions to the Black Lives Matter movement bring about his exit?

Posted by Tora Sagård, Vilde Bergstad Larsen & Marianne Dahl on Sunday, 5 July 2020

Since George Floyd’s brutal killing by the police in May, demonstrations have spread to more than 2,000 major cities and villages in the United States. Black Lives Matter (“BLM”) is probably the most widespread movement in the country’s history. In addition, we have seen huge global support, with demonstrations in ... Read more »

The Rise and Fall of the Twitter Revolution

Posted by Bintu Zahara Sakor, Marianne Dahl, Haakon Gjerløw & Tora Sagård on Tuesday, 7 January 2020

The year 2019 ended with a new wave of non-violent protests. In every corner of the world there have been huge movements gathering. This marks the end of a decade that opened with the Arab Spring; a decade that might go down in history as the decade of mass protests. ... Read more »

"We need to build bridges": Project Leader Marianne Dahl and GPS Director Torunn L. Tryggestad on the Women, Peace and Security Index

Posted by Indigo Trigg-Hauger, Torunn L. Tryggestad & Marianne Dahl on Wednesday, 23 October 2019

The Women, Peace and Security Index is one of the most comprehensive measures of women’s well-being around the world. This collaboration between PRIO and the Georgetown Institute for Women, Peace and Security (GIWPS) goes back to 2016. Funded by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Index ranks countries based ... Read more »

What "Chernobyl" Teaches Us About the Superiority of Democracy

Posted by Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Marianne Dahl on Friday, 18 October 2019

Authoritarian structures made Chernobyl an unavoidable accident. The HBO series “Chernobyl” has garnered rave reviews all over the world. Norwegian newspapers have been almost unanimous in their praise of the series. And with good reason. This is television drama at its very best. One largely overlooked aspect of the series ... Read more »

Measuring Women, Peace and Security

Posted by Marianne Dahl & Jeni Klugman on Friday, 23 March 2018

Last week, GIWPS together with the International Peace Institute and the Government of Norway cohosted a discussion on linking the Women, Peace and Security (WPS) Index to WPS in practice. The WPS Index, launched in October 2017 by GIWPS and PRIO at the United Nations, draws on recognized international data sources ... Read more »

Zimbabwe: from Coup to Democratization?

Posted by Marianne Dahl & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch on Friday, 17 November 2017

In the early hours of the morning on 15 November, the Zimbabwean military placed President Mugabe under house arrest. The coup against one of the longest serving rulers in Africa appears to have been a reaction to Mugabe’s ouster of his vice-president Emmerson Mnangagwa, to pave the way for his ... Read more »

Ukraine and the Role of the Security Forces in Popular Uprisings

Posted by Marianne Dahl, Scott Gates, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Strand on Thursday, 12 June 2014

The recent uprising in Ukraine echoes what happened in the earlier Orange Revolution. Much can be learned by comparing these events and looking at similar uprisings in other countries. This comparison clearly shows the important role played by security forces in determining whether brutal repression or successful regime change will follow. ... Read more »

Violence and Non-Violence in Ukraine

Posted by Marianne Dahl on Monday, 24 February 2014

​​​The Ukrainian opposition is more likely to succeed if its campaign remains primarily non-violent, writes Marianne Dahl, Doctoral Researcher at PRIO. ​This is not the first time that Kiev’s streets have been filled with demonstrators wanting to end Viktor Yanukovych’s days in the presidential palace. In 2004, the Orange Revolution ... Read more »

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