Paola Vesco

Associate Senior Researcher

Paola Vesco

Research Interests

Research Interests: Climate change impacts, Conflict Forecasting, AI, Equality, Food Security.

Background

Post-doctoral researcher at Uppsala University, Peace and Conflict Department, working on the ViEWS project - Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System.

Associate Senior Researcher at PRIO working on the POLIMPACT project - Enabling Politically Sensitive Climate Change Impact Assessments for the 21st Century.

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Events

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Recent Publications

Vesco, Paola; Michael Colaresi & Håvard Hegre (2022) The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted, PRIO Blogs, 30 December.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Hegre, Håvard; Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi (2022) Lessons from an escalation prediction competition, International Interactions 48(4): 521–554.
Vesco, Paola; Håvard Hegre; Michael Colaresi; Remco Jansen; Adeline Lo; Gregor Reisch & Nils Weidmann (2022) United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition, International Interactions 48(4): 860–896.
Vesco, Paola; Matija Kovacic; Malcolm Mistry & Mihai Croicu (2021) Climate variability, crop and conflict: Exploring the impacts of spatial concentration in agricultural production, Journal of Peace Research 58(1): 98–113.
Hegre, Håvard; Curtis Bell; Michael Colaresi; Mihai Croicu; Frederick Hoyles; Remco Jansen; Maxine Ria Leis; Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan; David Randahl; Espen Geelmuyden Rød & Paola Vesco (2021) ViEWS 2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System, Journal of Peace Research 58(3): 599–611.

Book Chapter

Vesco, Paola & Halvard Buhaug (2020) Climate and conflict, in Hampson, Fen Osler; Alpaslan Özerdem; & Jonathan Kent, eds, Routledge Handbook of Peace, Security and Development. New York: Routledge (105–120).

Popular Article

Vesco, Paola; Michael Colaresi & Håvard Hegre (2022) The Results of a Prediction Competition Suggest the Fog of War Can Be Partially Lifted, PRIO Blogs, 30 December.

Report - Other

von Loeben, Sophie; Jana Birner; Kira Vinke; Christoph Gornott; Julia Blocher; Lucas Destrijcker; Benjamin Fischer; Stephanie Gleixner; Håvard Hegre; Lennart Jansen; Bryan Jones; Alexander Kjærum; Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan; Nicole Manger; Thomas Mayer; Julia Tomalka; Paola Vesco; Stefanie Wesch; & Antonia Zvolsky (2022) Moving from Reaction to Action: Anticipating Vulnerability Hotspots in the SahelGeneva, New York: UNHCR.
Hegre, Håvard; Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan; Paola Vesco; James Dale; Mihai Croicu; & David Randahl (2022) Forecasting fatalities in armed conflict: Forecasts for April 2022-March 2025Uppsala: Uppsala University.
Hegre, Håvard; James Dale; David Randahl; Mihai Croicu; Remco Jansen; Paola Vesco; Angelica Lindqvist-McGowan; Peder Landsverk; Maxine Ria Leis; Hannes Mueller; Christopher Rauh; Espen Geelmuyden Rød; Forogh Akbari; Tim Gåsste; & Malika Rakhmankulova (2022) Forecasting FatalitiesUppsala: Uppsala University.