A recent Climatic Change review article reports a remarkable convergence of scientific evidence for a link between climatic events and violent intergroup conflict, thus departing markedly from other contemporary assessments of the empirical literature. This commentary revisits the review in order to understand the discrepancy. We believe the origins of the disagreement can be traced back to the review article's underlying quantitative meta-analysis, which suffers from shortcomings with respect to sample selection and analytical coherence. A modified assessment that addresses some of these problems suggest that scientific research on climate and conflict to date has produced mixed and inconclusive results.
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Research Director
Senior Researcher
Research Professor
Senior Researcher and Managing Editor, Journal of Peace Research
Post-doctoral Fellow in Economics at NTNU
Professor of Human Geography, University of Sussex
Assistant Professor in Political Science at NTNU
Director
Associate Senior Researcher