Consequences of the Invasion of Ukraine for the Global South

Consequences of the Invasion of Ukraine for the Global South
Led by Nicholas Marsh
Apr 2022 - Dec 2022

​The Russian invasion of Ukraine has a number of serious direct and indirect consequences for the populations of the Global South. The conflict has indirectly contributed to soaring prices for food, energy and fertilizer, all of which may have second-order effects on social cohesion and poverty in countries located far from the battlefields. Wider effects could also include shifts in overseas aid priorities and a more general global geopolitical realignment involving opponents and friends of Russia.

​The project is designed to produce rapid short policy-relevant outputs on the consequences for the Global South of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. At the outset the project will examine: food security; energy security; migration; changing priorities for donors of overseas development aid; global geopolitical realignment; and the effects of these variables on social unrest and conflict. The project is supported financially by Norad and the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Project outputs have been conceived and executed in a close dialogue with these partners.

Publications

Popular Article

Smith, Carina Strøm & Pinar Tank (2022) A Perfect Storm? The Impact of the Ukraine War on Donor Priorities, PRIO Blogs, 23 September.
Baev, Pavel K. (2022) Putin has unsheathed his energy weapon too early - and too late, Eurasia Daily Monitor, 12 September.
Marsh, Nicholas (2022) Ukraine Food Export Agreement: Not Yet Delivering, PRIO Blogs, 17 August.

PRIO Policy Brief

Strøm-Sedgwick, Carina & Pinar Tank (2022) The Impact of the Ukraine War on Donor Priorities, PRIO Policy Brief, 17. Oslo: PRIO.
Strøm-Sedgwick, Carina & Pinar Tank (2022) Shifting Donor Priorities Following the Ukraine War: What Role for Emerging Donors?, PRIO Policy Brief, 18. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas & Mathilde Bålsrud Mjelva (2022) Consequences of the Invasion of Ukraine for Migration from the Global South, PRIO Policy Brief, 12. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas; Ida Rudolfsen & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Protest and Insecurity: Trends in the Global South since the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Baev, Pavel K.; Nicholas Marsh & Harry Tzimitras (2022) Energy Crisis Amidst the Ukraine War: Three Scenarios, PRIO Policy Brief, 7. Oslo: PRIO.
Baev, Pavel K.; Nicholas Marsh & Harry Tzimitras (2022) The Energy Crisis Hits Europe: Resonances for the Global South and Climate Change, PRIO Policy Brief, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas & Ida Rudolfsen (2022) Food Insecurity and Social Instability in Light of the Ukraine-Russia War, PRIO Policy Brief, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas & Ida Rudolfsen (2022) The Role of the Invasion of Ukraine in the 2022 Food Supply Crisis, PRIO Policy Brief, 3. Oslo: PRIO.