Siri Aas Rustad

Research Director

Siri Aas Rustad
Additional position(s):
Research Professor

Email: sirir@prio.org
Mobile phone: 47 917 00 274
Twitter: @SiriRustadPRIO
CV: Download CV

Research Interests

I have a wide range of research interests, which can be divided in to three main categories.

The first category is related to conflict data and trends. In particular I'm interested in seeking to find what hidden stories the data tell us. Further, I have also worked extensively on ceasefires and non-state conflicts.

The second category is human consequences of conflicts. This entails research on inequalities, aid efficiency, maternal and child health, education, sexual violence and in particular children in conflict.

Finally, a large share of my research is devoted to natural resources and environment. I have looked at the resource curse, natural resource management in post-conflict, EITI, climate change, and conflicts related to new energy projects and climate mitigation projects such as REDD+


Background

​​Languages spoken:

English, Norwegian

Selected work experience:

Research Director, Conditions for Violence and Peace, PRIO Feb-July 2021

Research Professor, Conditions for Violence and Peace, PRIO 2020-present

Senior Researcher, Conditions for Violence and Peace, PRIO 2012-2020

Researcher/PhD candidate at PRIO (2008-2012)

Research Assistant at PRIO for Nils Petter Gleditsch and Scott Gates (November 2005- December 2007)

Coordinator for PRIO’s Peace Research Course at the International Summer School at Blindern (Summer 2006)

Project Coordinator for North Caucasus, Building Peaces

Teaching statistical method and software (MA-level) – Noragric, Norwegian University of Life Science (2012-2018)

Education:

2008-2012: PhD (Department of Sociology and Political Science, Norwegian University of Science and Technology)

2002-2005: Cand.polit. (Political Science from NTNU, Reading University, and PRIO)

1998-2001: Cand.mag. (Political Science, History and Macro Economics, from NTNU and Charles University, Praha)

Selected fellowships and awards:

‘Conflict Trends’, Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Project leader (NOK 3 million yearly) (2016-2023)

‘Green Curses’, Research Council of Norway, Norglobal, Project leder (NOK 6 million) (2020-2023)

‘Development Aid, Effectiveness, and Inequalities in Conflict-Affected Societies’, Research Council of Norway, FRIPRO, Project deputy (NOK 9 million) (2017-2019)

‘From a Curse to a Blessing? Transparency and Accountability in Managing High-Value Natural Resource Revenues’, Research Council of Norway, collaborator FRIPRO (NOK 7 million) (2014-2017)

‘The social, economic and political impacts of the extractive industries in Brazil: The case of Hydro and the Barcarena region in Pará’, Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Project leader (NOK 2.4 million) (2014-2016)

‘Female Empowerment in Eastern DRC’, Research Council of Norway, NORGLOBAL Division, collaborator (NOK 5 million) (2014-2016)

‘Conflict Trends’, Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Project deputy (NOK 11.4 million) (2013-2016)

Research Groups

Full member:
Associated member:

PRIO Departments

Current
Historical

PRIO Projects

Ongoing:
Finished:

Events

PRIO started tracking events online in 2007. This listing is not complete. Past events may be mentioned in our news archive.

Recent Publications

Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith (2022) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2021, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad; Roos Haer & Andrew Arasmith (2022) Children at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Groups, 1990–2020, Children & Society. DOI: 10.1111/chso.12609: 1–20.
Marsh, Nicholas; Ida Rudolfsen & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Protest and Insecurity: Trends in the Global South since the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

All Publications

Peer-reviewed Journal Article

Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad; Roos Haer & Andrew Arasmith (2022) Children at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Groups, 1990–2020, Children & Society. DOI: 10.1111/chso.12609: 1–20.
Le Billion, Philippe; Päivi Lujala & Siri Aas Rustad (2021) Transparency in Environmental and Resource Governance: Theories of Change for the EITI, Global Environmental Politics 21(3): 124–146.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Helga Malmin Binningsbø; Haakon Gjerløw; Francis Mwesigye; Tony Odokonyero & Gudrun Østby (2021) Maternal Health Care Among Refugees and Host Communities in Northern Uganda: Access, Quality, and Discrimination, Frontiers in Global Women's Health 2.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Elisabeth Lio Rosvold & Halvard Buhaug (2020) Development Aid, Drought, and Coping Capacity, Journal of Development Studies 56(8): 1578–1593.
Hoelscher, Kristian & Siri Aas Rustad (2019) CSR and social conflict in the Brazilian extractive sector, Conflict, Security and Development 19(1): 99–119.
Druce, Philippa; Ekaterina Bogatyreva; Frederik Francois Siem; Scott Gates; Hanna Kaade; Johanne Sundby; Morten Rostrup; Catherine Andersen; Siri Aas Rustad; Andrew Tchie; Robert Mood; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Henrik Urdal & Andrea Sylvia Winkler (2019) Approaches to protect and maintain health care services in armed conflict – meeting SDGs 3 and 16, Conflict and Health 13(2).
Must, Elise​ & Siri Aas Rustad (2019) “Mtwara will be the New Dubai”: dashed expectations, grievances, and civil unrest in Tanzania, International Interactions. DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2019.1554569.
Amisi, Christine; Rosalie Biaba Apassa; Aline Cikara; Gudrun Østby; Ragnhild Nordås; Siri Aas Rustad & John Quattrochi (2018) The impact of support programmes for survivors of sexual violence: micro-level evidence from eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, Medicine, Conflict and Survival 34(3): 201–223.
Hillesund, Solveig; Karim Bahgat; Gray Barrett; Kendra Dupuy; Scott Gates; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand; Henrik Urdal & Gudrun Østby (2018) Horizontal inequality and armed conflict: a comprehensive literature review, Canadian Journal of Development Studies 39(4): 463–480.
Kotsadam, Andreas; Siri Aas Rustad; Gudrun Østby; Andreas Forø Tollefsen & Henrik Urdal (2018) Development aid and infant mortality. Micro-level evidence from Nigeria, World Development 105: 59–69.
Basedau, Matthias; Siri Aas Rustad & Elise​ Must (2018) Do expectations on oil discoveries affect civil unrest? Micro-level evidence from Mali, Cogent Social Sciences 4: 1–19.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Philippe Le Billon & Päivi Lujala (2017) Has the Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative been a success? Identifying and evaluating EITI goals, Resources Policy 51: 151–162.
Vestby, Jonas; Siri Aas Rustad & Monika Salmivalli (2017) Identifying the effect of climate variability on communal conflict through randomization, Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-017-1914-3.
Kotsadam, Andreas; Gudrun Østby & Siri Aas Rustad (2017) Structural change and wife abuse: A disaggregated study of mineral mining and domestic violence in sub-Saharan Africa, 1999–2013, Political Geography 56(1): 53–65.
Rustad, Siri Aas (2016) Socioeconomic Inequalities and Attitudes toward Violence: A Test with New Survey Data in the Niger Delta, International Interactions 42(1): 106–139.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Gudrun Østby & Ragnhild Nordås (2016) Does Artisanal Mining Increase the Risk of Sexual Violence? Micro-level evidence from Eastern Congo, Quality in Primary Care 24(2): 77–80.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Gudrun Østby & Ragnhild Nordås (2016) Artisanal mining, conflict, and sexual violence in Eastern DRC, The Extractive Industries and Society 3(2): 475–484.
Nordås, Ragnhild & Siri Aas Rustad (2013) Sexual Exploitation and Abuse by Peacekeepers: Understanding Variation, International Interactions 39(4): 511–534.
Rustad, Siri Aas & Helga Malmin Binningsbø (2012) A Price Worth Fighting For? Natural Resources and Conflict Recurrence, Journal of Peace Research 49(4): 531–546.
Binningsbø, Helga Malmin & Siri Aas Rustad (2012) Sharing the Wealth: A Pathway to Peace or a Trail to Nowhere?, Conflict Management and Peace Science 29(5): 547–566.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Halvard Buhaug; Åshild Falch & Scott Gates (2011) All Conflict Is Local: Modeling Sub-National Variation in Civil Conflict Risk, Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(1): 15–40.
Achvarina, Vera;Nordås, Ragnhild;Østby, Gudrun; & Rustad, Siri Aas (2009) Armut und die Rekrutierung von Kindersoldaten: Neue Evidenz aus einer disaggregierten Analyse der afrikanischen Regionen [Poverty and Child Soldier Recruitment: A Disaggregated Study of African Regions] , Politische Vierteljahresschrift Sonderhefte 43386–413.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Jan Ketil Rød; Wenche Larsen & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2008) Foliage and Fighting: Forest Resources and the Onset, Duration, and Location of Civil War, Political Geography 27(7): 761–782.

Book Chapter

Rustad, Siri Aas (2022) The First Steps in the PRIO-Uppsala Connection: Peter Wallensteen, in Stein Tønnesson, ed., Lives in Peace Research: the Oslo Stories. Singapore: Springer (145–156).
Rustad, Siri Aas; Gudrun Østby & Henrik Urdal (2017) Conflicts and the Demographic Transition: Economic Opportunity or Disaster?, in Groth, Hans; & John F. May, eds, Africa's Population: In Search of a Demographic Dividend. Cham, Switzerland: Springer (483–496).
Nordås, Ragnhild & Siri Aas Rustad (2015) Assessing Sexual Exploitation and Abuse by Peacekeepers, in Olsson, Louise; & Theodora-Ismene Gizelis , eds, Gender, Peace and Security: Implementing UNSCR 1325. London: Taylor & Francis (138–162).
Lujala, Päivi & Siri Aas Rustad (2012) High-value Natural Resources: A Blessing or a Curse for Peace?, in Siri Aas Rustad, ed., High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. Abingdon: Earthscan (3–18).
Ross, Michael W.; Päivi Lujala & Siri Aas Rustad (2012) Horizontal Inequality, Decentralizing the Distribution of Natural Resources Revenues, and Peace, in High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. Abingdon: Earthscan (251–259).
Rustad, Siri Aas; Päivi Lujala & Philippe Le Billon (2012) Building or Spoiling Peace? Lessons from the Management of the High-Value Natural Resources, in High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. Abingdon: Earthscan (571–621).
Rustad, Siri Aas; & Le Billon, Philippe(2012) Building or spoiling peace? Lessons from the management of the high-value natural resources, in Lujala, Päivi;Lujala, Päivi; & Rustad, Siri Aas, eds, High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. : Earthscan Publications Ltd(571–621).
Rustad, Siri Aas;Lujala, Päivi; & Le Billon, Philippe(2012) Building or spoiling peace? Lessons from the management of high-value natural resources High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. : Earthscab(573–623).
Obi, Cyril & Siri Aas Rustad (2011) Introduction: Petro-Violence in the Niger Delta: The Complex Politics of an Insurgency, in Obi, Cyril; & Siri Aas Rustad, eds, Oil and Insurgency in the Niger Delta: Managing the Complex Politics of Petro-violence. London: Zed Books (1–14).
Obi, Cyril & Siri Aas Rustad (2011) Conclusion: Amnesty and Post-amnesty Peace, is the Window of Opportunity Closing for the Niger Delta, in Rustad, Siri Aas; & Cyril Obi, eds, Oil and Insurgency in the Niger Delta: Managing the Complex Politics of Petro-violence. London: (200–210).
Lujala, Päivi; Siri Aas Rustad & Philippe Le Billon (2010) Valuable Natural Resources in Conflict-Affected States, in Berdal, Mats; & Achim Wennmann, eds, Ending Wars, Consolidating Peace: Economic Perspectives. New York: IISS (121–136).
Rustad, Siri Aas & Helga Malmin Binningsbø (2007) Natural Resource Management and Postconflict Peace, in Statsvitenskaplig Fagkonferanse. Trondheim: .
Rustad, Siri Aas & Helga Malmin Binningsbø (2007) Natural Resource Management and Postconflict Peace, in the 48th Annual Metting of the International Studies Association. Chicago, IL: .

Edited Volume

Lujala, Päivi; & Siri Aas Rustad, eds, (2012) High-Value Natural Resources and Post-Conflict Peacebuilding. Abingdon: Earthscan. Post-Conflict Peacebuilding and Natural Resource Management.
Obi, Cyril; & Siri Aas Rustad, eds, (2011) Oil and Insurgency in the Niger Delta: Managing the Complex Politics of Petro-violence. London: Zed Books.

Popular Article

Haer, Roos; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith (2021) 1 in 8 Children Are at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors, PRIO Blog, 30 November.
Nagel, Robert; Ragnhild Nordås; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2021) 72 Million Children Are at Risk for Sexual Violence in Conflict. What Can Be Done?, PRIO Blog, 19 February.
Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Sirianne Dahlum; Gudrun Østby & Siri Aas Rustad (2019) Slik fanges mange land i en «ulikhetsfelle» [This is how many countries fall into an inequality trap], Dagens Næringsliv, 19 December.
Østby, Gudrun; Karim Bahgat; Kendra Dupuy; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand & Tore Wig (2018) New Mapping of Children Affected by Armed Conflict, PRIO blog, 15 February.
Lujala, Päivi & Siri Aas Rustad (2011) Å bygge fred etter krig [To Build Peace After War], Dagsavisen, 25 October.

Master Thesis

Rustad, Siri Aas (2005) Forest Resources and Conflict: How Forest Resources Influence Internal Armed Conflicts. MA thesis, Department of Sociology and Political Science, NTNU, Oslo & Trondheim.

Conference Paper

Horn Hermansen, Gudmund; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Jonathan Williams; Siri Aas Rustad & Govinda Clayton (2020) The Dynamics of Civil Wars: A Bayesian hidden Markov model applied to the pattern of conflict and the role of ceasefires, presented at PolMeth XXXVII: the 2020 Annual Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, Toronto (virtual), 14–17 July 2020.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Gudrun Østby & Ragnhild Nordås (2014) Artisanal Mining, Conflict and Sexual Violence: Micro-Level Evidence from the Democratic Republic of the Congo, presented at The 49th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, Toronto, 26–29 March .
Rustad, Siri Aas; Halvard Buhaug; Åshild Falch & Scott Gates (2009) Subnational Variation in Civil Conflict Risk, presented at 50th Annual Convention of the International Studies Association, New York, NY, 15–18 February.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Helga Malmin Binningsbø & Philippe Le Billon (2009) Do Resource-Related Peacebuilding Initiatives Build Peace?, presented at International Studies Association Convention, New York, NY, 15–18 February.
Achvarina, Vera;Nordås, Ragnhild;Østby, Gudrun; & Rustad, Siri Aas 2008 Regional Welfare and Child Soldier Recruitment : A Disaggregated Study of African Regions, presented at Authors' Conference, PVS-Special Issue 2009, , 22–23 February.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Jan Ketil Rød; Wenche Larsen & Nils Petter Gleditsch (2007) Foilage and Fighting: Forest resources and the onset, duration and location of civil warPalma, Mallorca, December.
Achvarina, Vera; Ragnhild Nordås; Siri Aas Rustad & Gudrun Østby (2007) Regional Poverty and Child Soldier Recruitment: A Disaggregated Study of Sub-National African Regions, 1990–2004, presented at the 48th Annual Metting of the International Studies Association, Chicago, IL, 28 February–3 March.
Rød, Jan Ketil & Siri Aas Rustad (2006) Resources and Conflict – Conflict Zones and Disaggregated Forest Data, presented at Polarization and Conflict Workshop, Nicosia, Cyprus, 26–29 April.

PRIO Policy Brief

Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith (2022) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2021, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Marsh, Nicholas; Ida Rudolfsen & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Protest and Insecurity: Trends in the Global South since the Russian Invasion of Ukraine, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Rødningen, Ida & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) The Role of Women in Ceasefires: A Literature Review, GPS Policy Brief, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Klugman, Jeni; Siri Aas Rustad; Kaja Borchgrevink; Solomon Negash & Marianne Dahl (2022) Women, Peace and Security Index 2021/22, GPS Policy Brief, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith (2021) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2020, Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Haer, Roos; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith (2021) Children at Risk of Being Recruited for Armed Conflict, 1990–2020, Conflict Trends, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Nagel, Robert; Ragnhild Nordås; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2021) Children at Risk of Wartime Sexual Violence, 1990–2019, Conflict Trends, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2020) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2018, Conflict Trends, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2020) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2019, Conflict Trends, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia & Siri Aas Rustad (2020) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2019, Conflict Trends, 5. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad & Fredrik Methi (2020) Conflict Trends in Asia, 1989–2019, Conflict Trends, 7. Oslo: PRIO.
Rosvold, Elisabeth Lio; Halvard Buhaug & Siri Aas Rustad (2020) Development Aid, Drought and Coping Capacity, PRIO Policy Brief, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Fredrik Methi (2020) Are the Coronavirus Ceasefires Working?, Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad; Kristian Berg Harpviken & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2020) Conflict Trends in the Middle East, 1989–2019, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Strand, Håvard; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Håvard Hegre (2020) Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2019, Conflict Trends, 8. Oslo: PRIO.
Strand, Håvard; Siri Aas Rustad; Henrik Urdal & Håvard Mokleiv Nygård (2019) Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2018, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas & Ingrid Vik Bakken (2019) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2018, Conflict Trends, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia & Siri Aas Rustad (2019) Mediation in the Yemeni Civil War: Actors, Outcomes, and Lessons Learned, Conflict Trends, 5. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Andreas Forø Tollefsen & Scott Gates (2019) The Fall and Rise of the Islamic State (IS), Conflict Trends, 4. Oslo: PRIO.
Ryland, Reidun; Tora Sagård; Peder Landsverk; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Håvard Strand; Siri Aas Rustad; Govinda Clayton; Claudia Wiehler & Valerie Sticher (2018) The Effects of Ceasefires in Colombian Peace Processes, Conflict Trends, 7. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Kristian Hoelscher; Andreas Kotsadam; Gudrun Østby & Henrik Urdal (2018) Political Exclusion, Group Inequality and Aid Distribution, Conflict Trends, 9. Oslo: PRIO.
Dupuy, Kendra & Siri Aas Rustad (2018) Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2017, Conflict Trends, 5. Oslo: PRIO.
Kotsadam, Andreas; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Andreas Forø Tollefsen & Henrik Urdal (2018) Does Aid Reduce Infant Mortality? Local-Level Evidence from Nigeria, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Bakken, Ingrid Vik & Siri Aas Rustad (2018) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2017, Conflict Trends, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Østby, Gudrun; Siri Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen (2018) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2017, Conflict Trends, 10. Oslo: PRIO.
Bahgat, Karim; Kendra Dupuy; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand & Tore Wig (2018) Children Affected by Armed Conflict, 1990–2016, Conflict Trends, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas & Gudrun Østby (2017) Education and Systematic Group Inequalities in Nigeria, Conflict Trends, 3. Oslo: PRIO.
Dupuy, Kendra; Scott Gates; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Ida Rudolfsen; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand & Henrik Urdal (2017) Trends in Armed Conflict, 1946–2016, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Bahgat, Karim; Gray Barrett; Kendra Dupuy; Scott Gates; Solveig Hillesund; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand; Henrik Urdal & Gudrun Østby (2017) Inequality and Armed Conflict: Evidence and Policy Recommendations, Conflict Trends, 1. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas & Kristian Hoelscher (2016) Supporting Multi-Stakeholder Dialogue in Barcarena, Brazil, PRIO Policy Brief, 26. Oslo: PRIO.
Must, Elise​ & Siri Aas Rustad (2016) Perceptions of Justice and Violent Mobilization: Explaining Petroleum Related Riots in Southern Tanzania, Conflict Trends, 6. Oslo: PRIO.
Ukiwo, Ukoha O. & Siri Aas Rustad (2015) Nigeria’s Presidential Election 2015, Conflict Trends, 2. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas (2008) Between War and peace: 50 years of Power-sharing in Nigeria, CSCW Policy Brief, 6. Oslo: PRIO.

PRIO Paper

Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends in Asia, 1989–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Anna Marie Obermeier & Siri Aas Rustad (2022) Conflict Trends in the Middle East, 1989–2021, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Brekke, Torkel; Siri Aas Rustad; Kaja Borchgrevink & Edin Kozaric (2021) Attitudes to Housing and Finance among Muslims in Mosque Networks in the Nordic Countries, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad & Fredrik Methi (2020) Conflict Trends: A Global Overview, 1946–2019, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad & Fredrik Methi (2020) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2019, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad & Fredrik Methi (2020) Conflict Trends in Asia, 1989–2019, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Fredrik Methi; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård & Govinda Clayton (2020) The Strategic Use of Ceasefires in the Coronavirus Crisis, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Palik, Júlia; Siri Aas Rustad; Kristian Berg Harpviken & Fredrik Methi (2020) Conflict Trends in the Middle East, 1989–2019, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Rustad, Siri Aas (2019) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1989–2018: An Update, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Bakken, Ingrid Vik & Siri Aas Rustad (2018) Conflict Trends in Africa, 1946–2017, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Ryland, Reidun; Tora Sagård; Peder Landsverk; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Håvard Strand; Siri Aas Rustad; Govinda Clayton; Claudia Wiehler; Valerie Sticher & David Lander (2018) The Effects of Ceasefires in Philippine Peace Processes, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Nordås, Ragnhild; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Christine Amisi; Rosalie Biaba; John Quattrochi; Susanne Alldén & Aline Cikara (2016) L’intégration sociale des Survivantes des violences sexuelles : Comment les programmes de soutien fonctionnent ? [Social Inclusion of Survivors of Sexual Violence: How Do Support Programs Work?], PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.
Nordås, Ragnhild; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Christine Amisi; Rosalie Biaba; John Quattrochi; Susanne Alldén & Aline Cikara (2016) Social Inclusion of Survivors of Sexual Violence: How Do Support Programs Work?, PRIO Paper. Oslo: PRIO.

Report - Other

Klugman, Jeni; Milorad Kovacevic; Michael Gottschalk; Elena Ortiz; Jimena Diaz; Varsha Thebo; Isha Raj-Silverman; Jiaqi Zhao; Siri Aas Rustad; Solomon Negash; & Kaja Borchgrevink (2021) Women, Peace, and Security Index 2021/22: Tracking Sustainable Peace through Inclusion, Justice, and Security for WomenWashington, D.C.: GIWPS and PRIO.
Barakat, Sultan; Siri Aas Rustad; Mona Hedaya; & Sansom Milton (2021) اتجاهات النزاعات في العالم العربي [Conflict Trends in the Arab World, 1946–2019]Doha & Oslo: Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies (CHS) & the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO).
Barakat, Sultan; Siri Aas Rustad; Mona Hedaya; & Sansom Milton (2021) Conflict Trends in the Arab World, 1946–2019Doha & Oslo: Center for Conflict and Humanitarian Studies (CHS) & the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO).
Palik, Júlia; Håvard Strand; Govinda Clayton; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; & Siri Aas Rustad, eds, (2019) Yemen, Ceasefire Project Country ReportZürich, Switzerland: Center for Security Studies at ETH Zurich, and Peace Research Institute in Oslo.
Bahgat, Karim; Kendra Dupuy; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand; & Tore Wig (2018) Children and Armed Conflict: What Existing Data Can Tell UsOslo: PRIO.
Bahgat, Karim; Kendra Dupuy; Scott Gates; Håvard Mokleiv Nygård; Siri Aas Rustad; Håvard Strand; Henrik Urdal; Gudrun Østby; Gray Barrett; & Solveig Hillesund (2017) Inequality and Armed Conflict: Evidence and Data.
Rustad, Siri Aas; & Karim Bahgat (2016) Nigeria Country StudyOslo: PRIO.

Report - External Series

Nygård, Håvard Mokleiv; Sirianne Dahlum; Gudrun Østby; & Siri Aas Rustad (2019) The Conflict–Inequality Trap: How Internal Armed Conflict Affects Horizontal Inequality, UNDP Human Development Report Background Paper, 2. New York: UNDP.
Kotsadam, Andreas; Gudrun Østby; Siri Aas Rustad; Andreas Forø Tollefsen; & Henrik Urdal (2017) Development Aid and Infant Mortality, AidData Working Paper, 39. Williamsburg, VA: AIDDATA - William & Mary.
Rustad, Siri Aas; Åshild Falch; Scott Gates; & Halvard Buhaug (2009) Risk Assessment and Mitigation Measures for Natural and Conflict-Related Hazards in Asia-Pacific, NGI Report 200716001. Oslo: Norwegian Geotechnical Institute.

Blog Posts

Fewer Children Affected by Conflict, but Conflict Intensity Is on the Rise

Posted by Gudrun Østby, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith on Wednesday, 30 November 2022

Today Save the Children launches its new report Stop the War on Children: The Forgotten Ones. The report is based on PRIO’s sixth annual mapping of children in armed conflict covering the period 1990-2021. In 2021 our estimates suggest that 449 million children, or more than 1 out of 6 ... Read more »

1 in 8 Children Are at Risk of Being Recruited by Armed Actors

Posted by Roos Haer, Gudrun Østby, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Andrew Arasmith on Tuesday, 30 November 2021

The recruitment and use of children as soldiers is one of the United Nations Security Council’s ‘six grave violations’ against children in times of war, as well as one of the most significant consequences of armed conflict in terms of children’s wellbeing. On 30 November, Save the Children launched its ... Read more »

Do Cease-Fires in Syria Work? We Checked the Data.

Posted by Sunniva Unn Hustad & Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Wednesday, 30 June 2021

Our research looks at 10 years of truces in Syria. A missile attack last weekend in northern Syria left a hospital in ruins and further casualties in a residential area. But these types of attacks have become less common in Syria. Although this civil war remains among the most devastating ... Read more »

72 Million Children Are at Risk for Sexual Violence in Conflict. What Can Be Done?

Posted by Robert U. Nagel, Ragnhild Nordås, Gudrun Østby, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Andreas Forø Tollefsen on Friday, 19 February 2021

A staggering 72 million children—17% of the 426 million children living in conflict areas globally, or 1 in 6—are living near armed groups that have been reported to perpetrate sexual violence against children. That means 3% of all children in the world are living at risk for sexual violence in ... Read more »

Welcome to the Green Curses Blog Series!

Posted by Kendra Dupuy & Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Wednesday, 16 December 2020

Welcome to the new Green Curses project blog series “Energy Transitions and Conflict”! We write about research, news, policy interventions, events, and other items of interest that pertain to the social, political, and economic dynamics underlying the often contentious implementation of renewable energy projects. We focus especially on the potential ... Read more »

Coronavirus and the (Wannabe) Dictators

Posted by Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Fredrik Methi & Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Friday, 5 June 2020

In December of last year, the Chinese state jailed a physician in the city of Wuhan. His crime? Attempting to warn authorities against the occurrence of a potentially contagious and deadly new virus. The physician, Dr. Li Wenliang, has since died from the same disease whose spread he tried to ... Read more »

Ceasefires in the Time of COVID-19

Posted by Siri Camilla Aas Rustad, Tora Sagård, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Govinda Clayton & Fredrik Methi on Friday, 17 April 2020

This piece is part of our blog series Beyond the COVID Curve. COVID-19 has quickly changed everything from our daily routines, to the policies of governments, to the fortunes of the global economy. How will it continue to shape society and the conditions for peace and conflict globally in the near ... Read more »

This Is How Countries End up in the “Inequality Trap”

Posted by Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Sirianne Dahlum, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Gudrun Østby on Wednesday, 8 January 2020

Inequality fosters violent conflict, which again causes inequality, triggering a vicious cycle. In December the UN Development Programme (UNDP) released its annual ‘Human Development Report’. For 2019 the report focused on inequality. The report is being launched as nightly news is dominated by pictures of protests in countries like Lebanon, Iraq, Chile and Hong Kong. These ... Read more »

Mission Impossible? Creating a Dialogue between Research, Policy and Practice Communities

Posted by Júlia Palik, Govinda Clayton, Simon J. A. Mason & Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Wednesday, 23 October 2019

On the surface, it should be easy. Practitioners and policy makers always require better knowledge to make informed decisions, and academics (nearly) always seek that their research makes an impact in the “real” world. Yet this rarely works out. In most cases academic-practice-policy dialogues, forums, meetings and conferences rarely produce ... Read more »

The First Steps in the PRIO-Uppsala Connection: Peter Wallensteen Interviewed by Siri Aas Rustad

Posted by Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Wednesday, 14 August 2019

Peter Wallensteen, interviewed by Siri Aas Rustad PRIO was the engine of our Nordic peace research network. To ‘go to PRIO’ meant to be updated on the state of the art, to find out what was going on. The ideas generated could then be taken back home and used to ... Read more »

Will There Be Peace in Westeros?

Posted by Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Friday, 24 May 2019

In my last Game of Thrones blog post I looked into whether there were any similarities between the War of the Five Kings and modern war in the real world. I found a surprisingly large number of similarities. Now that we have seen the end GoT, and we know who ... Read more »

The Clash of Guns and Swords: Game of Thrones and Reality

Posted by Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Tuesday, 18 December 2018

Are there any similarities between the bloody war in Game of Thrones (GoT) and modern conflicts? The battle fields are certainly quite different, and dragons have very little to do with today’s conflicts (although they may allude to weapons of mass destruction). However, if we look beyond the fighting and ... Read more »

Fewer Lives Being Lost in Conflicts

Posted by Håvard Strand, Gudrun Østby, Håvard Mokleiv Nygård, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Henrik Urdal on Monday, 25 June 2018

In 2017, approximately 90,000 people died as the direct result of armed conflict. This figure is down for the third year in a row, and is now 31 percent lower than in 2014. Nearly a third of all conflicts – and four of the 10 most serious wars worldwide – ... Read more »

New Mapping of Children Affected by Armed Conflict

Posted by Gudrun Østby, Karim Bahgat, Kendra Dupuy, Siri Camilla Aas Rustad, Håvard Strand & Tore Wig on Thursday, 15 February 2018

This weekend, decision-makers from all over the world will come together to discuss current and future security challenges at the Munich Security Conference (MSC), which has become the major global forum for discussion of security policy. At the conference, Save the Children will launch its new report The War on ... Read more »

Education and Systematic Group Inequalities in Nigeria

Posted by Siri Camilla Aas Rustad & Gudrun Østby on Thursday, 14 September 2017

On the night between 14 and 15 April, 2014, 276 girls were kidnapped by Boko Haram from their school in Chibok in Borno State in Northeastern Nigeria. The Islamist terrorist group does not believe that girls should attend school, and these girls were targeted precisely because they were in school. However, conservative views on gender and education is only ... Read more »

The Window of Opportunity Closes in Nigeria

Posted by Ukoha O. Ukiwo & Siri Camilla Aas Rustad on Monday, 16 February 2015

On 14 February, the population of Nigeria, Africa’s largest democracy, were supposed to go to the polls to elect a new president. This election might have proven a watershed in Nigerian history. For the first time, the opposition had a realistic opportunity to take over from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), ... Read more »

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