Forecasting Conflict Intensity: Call for Abstracts

News

10 May 2023

Forecasting Conflict Intensity: Call for Abstracts
Photo: PRIO

​The Violence and Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) team is committed to providing humanitarian groups with the earliest possible warnings to support anticipatory action.


Forecasting conflict intensity is a challenging exercise. Yet, it can save lives by enabling early warning systems.

With the goal of improving the accuracy and certainty of our forecasts, the VIEWS team is launching a new prediction challenge that seeks to forecast conflict intensity as a probability distribution over the outcome— thus taking the uncertainty of forecasts fully into account. This initiative will enable better anticipation of conflict and ultimately help to minimize the impact of war on people's lives.

Abstracts need to be submitted by June 1, 2023. More detail available on the invitation webpage.